Journal Articles

Record-breaking Lake Erie hypoxia caused by 2012 drought
Zhou, Y. T., A. M. Michalak, D. Beletsky, Y. R. Rao, R. P. Richards (2015).Environmental Science & Technology. 49 (2), 800.

Long-term and seasonal trend decomposition of Maumee River nutrient inputs to western Lake Erie
Stow, C. A., Y. Cha, L. T. Johnson, R. Confesor, R.P. Richards (2014).Environmental Science & Technology.

Ecological risk assessment of atrazine in North American surface waters
Solomon, K. R., J. P. Giesy, T. W. LaPoint, J. M. Giddings, R. P. Richards (2013). Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. 32 (1), 10.

Assessing and addressing the re-eutrophication of Lake Erie: Central Basin Hypoxia
Scavia, D., J. D. Allan, K. K. Arend, S. Bartell, D. Beletsky, N. S. Bosch, S. B. Brandt, R. D. Briland, I. Daloğlu, J. V. DePinto, D. M. Dolan, M. A. Evans, T. M. Farmer, D. Goto, H. Han, T. O. Höök, R. Knight, S. A. Ludsin, D. Mason, A. M. Michalak, R. P. Richards, J. J. Roberts, D. K. Rucinski, E. Rutherford, D. J. Schwab, T. Sesterhenn, H. Zhang, Y. Zhou (2014).  Journal of Great Lakes Research. 40 (2), 226.

Joining Scientists and Stakeholders in Regional Earth System Modeling
Rosenzweig, B., C. Vorosmarty, W. Gutowski, A. L. Steiner (2014). Eos. 95 (27), 247.

Joint bias correction of temperature and precipitation in climate model simulations
Li, C., E. Sinha, D. E. Horton, N. S. Diffenbaugh, A. M. Michalak (2014). Journal of Geophysical Research ­ Atmospheres. 119 (23), 13153.

Challenges in tracking harmful algal blooms: A synthesis of evidence from Lake Erie
Ho, J. C., A. M. Michalak (2015). Journal of Great Lakes Research.

A comprehensive approach to evaluating watershed models for predicting river flow regimes critical to downstream ecosystem services
Gebremariam, S. Y., J. F. Martin, C. DeMarchi, N. S. Bosch, R. Confesor, S. A. Ludsin (2014).Environmental Modelling & Software. 61 121.

Connecting the blooms: Tracking of the unprecedented Microcystis bloom of 2011 across Lake Erie using DGGE Chaffin, J. D., W. V. Sigler, T. B. Bridgeman (2014). Aquatic Microbial Ecology. 73 29.

Summer phytoplankton nutrient limitation in Maumee Bay of Lake Erie during high-flow and low-flow years Chaffin, J. D., T. B. Bridgeman, D. L. Bade, C. N. Mobilian (2014). Journal of Great Lakes Research. 40 (3), 524.

Organic and inorganic nitrogen utilization by nitrogen-stressed cyanobacteria during bloom conditions
Chaffin, J. D., T. B. Bridgeman (2014). Journal of Applied Phycology. 26 (1), 299.

Regional modeling of surface­-atmosphere interactions and their impact on Great Lakes hydroclimate
Bryan, A. M., A. L. Steiner, D. J. Posselt (2015). Journal of Geophysical Research­-Atmospheres.

Interacting effects of climate change and agricultural BMPs on nutrient runoff entering Lake Erie
Bosch, N. S., M. A. Evans, D. Scavia, J. D. Allan (2014). Journal of Great Lakes Research. 40 (3), 581.

Record-setting Algal Bloom in Lake Erie Caused by Agricultural and Meteorological Trends Consistent with Expected Future Conditions
Michalak, A.M., E.J. Anderson, D. Beletsky, et al. (2013). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110:16, 6448-6452, 10.1073/pnas.1216006110

Methodological Approaches to Projecting the Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change
Lofgren, B.M., A.D. Gronewald, A. Acciaioli, J. Cherry, A. Steiner, D. Watkins. (2013). Earth Interactions, 17, 22, 1-19

Sensitivity of Lake-Effect Snowfall to Lake Ice Cover and Temperature in the Great Lakes Region
Wright, D.M., D. J. Posselt, and A. L. Steiner (2013). Monthly Weather Review, 141, 670-689

Discussion – Nutrient Inputs to the Laurentian Great Lakes by Source and Watershed Estimated Using SPARROW Watershed Models.
Richards, R.P., I. Alameddine, J.D. Allan, D.B. Baker, N.S. Bosch, R. Confesor, J.V. DePinto, D.M. Dolan, J.M. Reutter, and D.Scavia (2012). DOI: 10.1111 ⁄  jawr.12006

Modeling Summer Circulation and Thermal Structure in Lake Erie
Beletsky, D., N. Hawley, Y.R. Rao (2013). J. Geophys. Res. 118, DOI: 10:1002/jgrc.20419

Nitrogen Constrains the Growth of Late Summer Cyanobacterial Blooms in Lake Erie
Chaffin, J.D., T.B. Bridgeman, D.L. Bade (2013).  Advances in Microbiology, 3, 16-26, DOI:10.4236/aim.2013.36A003

Organic and Inorganic Nitrogen Utilization by Nitrogen-stressed Cyanobacteria during Bloom Conditions
Chaffin, J.D., T.B. Bridgeman (2014). Journal of Applied Phycology, 26, 299-309, 10.1007/s10811-013-0118-0

A Novel Method for Tracking Western Lake Erie Microcystis Blooms, 2002-2011
Bridgeman, T.B., J.D. Chaffin, J.E. Filbrun (2013). Journal of Great Lakes Research, 39: 83-89, DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2012.11.004

Water, Climate, Energy, Food: Inseparable & Indispensable
Field, C.B., A.M. Michalak (2015). Daedalus Journal of the American Academy of Arts & Sciences, special issue “On Water”.

Landsat­ based retrospective analysis of phytoplankton blooms in Lake Erie
Ho, J.H., A.M. Michalak, R.P. Stumpf, T.B. Bridgeman (), 1984­2011.

Engaging Stakeholders to Define Feasible and Desirable Agricultural Conservation in Western Lake Erie Watersheds
Kalcic, M., Kirchhoff, C., Bosch, N., Muenich, R., Murray, M., Gardner, J., Scavia, D. (2016). Environmental Science and Technology.

Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurring earlier than predicted
Li, C., Y. Fang, K. Caldeira, X. Zhang, N.S. Diffenbaugh, A.M. Michalak (2016). Environmental Research Letters.

Study role of climate change in extreme threats to water quality
Michalak, A.M. (2016). Nature.

Water, Climate, Energy, Food: Inseparable & Indispensable
Michalak, A.M., C.B. Field (2015). Introduction. Daedalus Journal of the American Academy of Arts & Sciences, Summer 2015: On Water.

Testing long­term agricultural nutrient management scenarios for the Maumee River Watershed
Muenich RL, Kalcic MM, Scavia D. (2016). Environmental Science & Technology.

Evaluating the Impact of Legacy P and Agricultural Conservation Practices on Nutrient Loads from the Maumee River Watershed
Muenich R.L., M.M. Kalcic, D. Scavia (2016). Environmental Science & Technology.

Multiple models guide strategies for agricultural nutrient reductions
Scavia D, Kalcic MM, Muenich RL, Read J, Aloysius N, Boles C, Confesor R, DePinto J, Gildow M, Martin J, Redder T, Sowa S, Yen H. (2016). Environmental Science & Technology.

Precipitation dominates interannual variability of riverine nitrogen loading across the continental United States
Sinha, E., A.M. Michalak (). Environmental Science and Technology.

Global solutions to regional problems: Collecting global expertise to address the problem of harmful cyanobacterial blooms
Bullerjahn, G.S., R.M. McKay, T.W. Davis, D.B. Baker, G.L. Boyer, L.V. D’Anglada, G.J. Doucette, J.C. Ho, E.G. Irwin, C.L. Kling, R.M. Kudela, R. Kurmayer, A.M. Michalak, J.D. Ortiz, T.G. Otten, H.W. Paerl, B. Qin, B.L. Sohngen, R.P. Stumpf, P.M. Visser, S.W. Wilhelms (2016). A Lake Erie case study. Harmful Algae. 54 223.

Role of Precipitation in Interannual Variation of Nitrogen Loading in Streams in the Continental U.S.
Sinha, E., A.M. MIchalak (2015).  2015 AGU Fall Meeting. San Francisco, CA.

Lake Surface Temperature Influence on Atmospheric Circulation and Precipitation Processes in the Great Lakes Region
Wright, D.M., D. J. Posselt (2015). 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. San Francisco, CA.

Landsat-derived 28-year history of phytoplankton blooms in Western Lake Erie
Ho, J.C., A.M. Michalak, and R.P. Stumpf (2016). 2016 Ocean Sciences Meeting. New Orleans, LA.

Predicting Nitrogen Loading in Streams Under Climate Change Scenarios in the Continental United States
Sinha, E., A. M. Michalak (2014). American Geophysical Fall Meeting. San Francisco, CA.


 Additional Resources


Summary of Publications (PPT) – Includes highlights from each article as well as accompanying images.





10-705 Great Lakes Basin Map 25x37-rev22